Weekend Box Office Projection: ‘Shang-Chi’ Won’t Back Down

Disney/Marvel Cinematic Universe release Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings is expected to maintain its grip on the domestic/global box office following a record Labor Day debut.

The Asian-American-led superhero movie is projected to generate $40 million over the three-day weekend ending Sept. 12, almost 50% off its record debut $75.4 million three-day ($94.7 million four-day) tally last weekend. The movie is projected to surpass $148 million at (4,300) U.S. theaters.

Notably, Shang-Chi has no China release date, a significant loss considering Marvel movies typically generate 10% to 20% of their global box office in the world’s most-populous country.

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New releases include Warner Bros. Pictures Malignant, which is expected to generate $6.5 million across 3,800 screens. The movie will also stream concurrently on HBO Max. Sony Pictures’ Show Me the Father ($2.3 million at 1,073 screens) and Focus Features’ The Card Counter ($1.1 million across 580 screens) also arrive in theaters.

Returning features include 20th Century Studios’ Free Guy at $5.5 million across 3,600 screens ($101.5 million total domestically); Universal Pictures’ Candyman at $5.3 million across 3,279 screens ($48.4 million); Disney’s Jungle Cruise ($2.6 million/$110 million); Paramount Pictures’ Paw Patrol: The Movie ($2.3 million/$34.6 million); Sony Pictures’ Don’t Breathe 2 ($1.2 million/$30.2 million); and United Artists’ Respect ($770,000/$23.4 million).

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