Erik Gruenwedel

January 2, 2023

With the 80th Golden Globes Awards set to take place live in Los Angeles on Jan. 10, a slew of industry award records could be matched or broken.

Like many professional and college live sports events, the Golden Globes attracts wagering among betting moviegoers. New data from VegasInsider  finds that Netflix has an 81% chance of becoming the first streaming service to win Best Animated Feature, for original movie Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio.

While 20th Century Studios’ current box office king, Avatar: The Way of Water, could become the first movie to win Best Motion Picture — Drama for both its 2009 original (Avatar) and sequel, gambling odds give director Steven Spielberg’s The Fabelmans a 63% chance of winning the category. The Universal Pictures’ movie has five nominations overall, including Spielberg for Best Director.

A24’s box office hit Everything Everywhere All At Once has a 66% chance of winning Best Picture — Comedy, according to oddsmakers, with the movie generating the second-highest number of overall nominations with six.

Ke Hy Quan has a 69% chance of becoming the first Vietnam-born actor to win Best Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture and the second actor of Asian descent to win the category.

Fellow cast member Michelle Yeoh has a near lock (80%) on winning Best Performance in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy, while Jamie Lee Curtis has a 64% chance of winning Best Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture for Everything Everywhere All At Once. The movie has a 66% chance of winning Best Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy.

Separately, Brad Pitt could break a five-way tie and become the most-awarded male actor (three wins) for Best Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture for current theatrical release Babylon. Pitt has won the category twice, once for Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (2020) and Twelve Monkeys in 1996.

Meanwhile, Austin Butler has 56% odds on winning Best Actor Performance in a Motion Picture — Drama for his role as Elvis Presley in Warner Bros. Pictures’ Elvis. The movie has three nominations, including Best Motion Picture — Drama, and Best Director for Baz Luhrmann.

Cate Blanchett has a 70% chance of winning Best Actress Performance in a Motion Picture —Drama for Tár, which also has nominations for Best Motion Picture — Drama, and Best Motion Picture — Screenplay (Todd Field, who also directs).

Blanchett could join Meryl Streep, Ingrid Bergman and Jane Fonda as the most awarded female actors in the Best Actress — Drama category with three wins. She won previously for Elizabeth and Blue Jasmine. Blanchett also won a 2008 supporting award for I’m Not There.

Colin Farrell has a 86% to win Best Performance in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy for Searchlight Pictures’ The Banshees of Inisherin. Farrell could become only one of seven men to win two or more times in the Best Actor — Musical/Comedy category. He previously won for In Bruges, also directed by Martin McDonagh and co-starring Brendan Gleeson. The Banshees of Inisherin leads all Golden Globes movies with eight nominations.

Indian drama RRR has a 73% of winning Best Non-English-Language Film.