NEWS ANALYSIS — As expected, Comcast Corp. increased its all-cash offer for British satellite TV operator Sky to $34 billion (£26 billion), or £14.75 per share, exceeding 21st Century Fox’s revised offer of £14 per share. Fox, which is controlled by Rupert Murdoch, currently owns 39% of Sky.
This came the day before the British government — after months of regulatory review — formally cleared Fox’s pursuit for remaining interest in Sky.
“It’s now a matter for Sky shareholders to decide whether to accept 21stCentury Fox’s bid,” Jeremy Wright, U.K. cultural and media secretary, said in a July 12 statement.
Which could be meaningless considering the third player (Disney) in this high-stakes media consolidation battle last month upped its bid for Fox to $71.3 billion (which includes Fox’s stake in Sky) after Comcast offered $65 billion — topping the Mickey Mouse’s company’s initial $52.4 billion acquisition amount.
Disney CEO Bob Iger has called Sky – with 23 million subscribers in the U.K., Germany and Italy, and a budding over-the-top video business – the “crown jewel” in the Fox deal.
Comcast claims its superior cash offer (Disney’s bid is cash and stock) has been recommended by an independent committee on Sky’s board of directors.
The company says it has the relevant regulatory approvals in the European Union, Austria, Germany, and Italy — and expects to complete the acquisition before the end of October.
In a statement, the Philadelphia-based media giant said it has long admired Sky and believes the satellite operator is an outstanding company and a great fit with Comcast Cable.
“Today’s [July 11] announcement further underscores Comcast’s belief and its commitment to owning Sky,” said the company headed by cable veteran Brian Roberts.
Fox and Disney shareholders are slated to vote July 27 on the latter’s bid for 20th Century Fox Film, Sky and related assets. This gives Comcast about two weeks to up its Fox bid. Or does it?
BTIG Research senior analyst Rich Greenfield — in response to media scuttlebutt Comcast and Disney could stop the fiscal escalations with Comcast taking Sky and Disney opting for Fox’s assets — says such a move would be detrimental to both sides.
He said combining Disney and 20th Century Fox Film would dwarf Comcast-owned Universal Studios, while Disney abandoning Sky would give Comcast greater distribution.
“Why start a fight you do not want to finish?” Greenfield wrote in a blog note. “If Disney’s acquisition goal is adding 100% owned and controlled subscriber relationships, why go through all this effort and allow Comcast to own all of or at the very least control Sky?”