Pandemic Hammers Disney Q2 Home Entertainment Retail

Ongoing effects of the pandemic on studio production and retail saw Disney report a 36% decline in second-quarter (ended April 3) content sales/licensing and other revenue to $1.9 billion, from $2.9 billion in the previous-year period. The segment includes home entertainment, which includes both packaged media and digital.

The decrease in home entertainment distribution was due to lower unit sales of new release titles reflecting the ongoing impact of COVID-19, partially offset by lower marketing costs. The quarter included Mulan and Soul, whereas the prior-year quarter included Frozen II, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, Ford v. Ferrari, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker and Onward.

Frozen II and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker were the top-two selling DVD/Blu-ray Disc releases in 2020.

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Segment operating results increased from a loss of $25 million to a profit of $312 million. The increase in operating income was due to higher TV/SVOD distribution results and lower film and television cost impairments, partially offset by lower home entertainment distribution results.

Higher TV/SVOD distribution results were due to an increase in income from sales of episodic content, partially offset by a decrease in sales of film content. Higher income from sales of episodic content was driven by sales of more profitable programs in the current period. Lower results from film
content sales were driven by fewer titles sold in the current year as a result of the ongoing impact of COVID-19.

Disney’s ‘Cruella,’ ‘Black Widow’ Bowing Simultaneously on Premier Access and in Theaters; Pixar’s ‘Luca’ Going Straight to Disney+

Disney Media & Entertainment Distribution March 23 announced new details for Walt Disney Studios’ upcoming slate of theatrical movies, including live-action Cruella, Marvel Studios’ Black Widow, and Pixar’s Luca, among others.

Following the recent $29.99 Premier Access (PVOD) releases of Mulan and Raya and the Last Dragon, both Cruella and Black Widow will launch simultaneously in theaters and on Disney+ with Premier Access in most Disney+ markets on May 28 and on July 9, respectively.

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Similarly to the Christmas Day launch of Academy Award-nominated Soul, Pixar’s Luca will stream directly in homes worldwide exclusively on Disney+ beginning Friday, June 18, as a special offering to kick-off the summer season.  In international markets where Disney+ is not yet available, the film will be released theatrically, with premiere dates to be announced.

“Today’s announcement reflects our focus on providing consumer choice and serving the evolving preferences of audiences,” Kareem Daniel, chairman of Disney Media & Entertainment Distribution, said in a statement. “By leveraging a flexible distribution strategy in a dynamic marketplace that is beginning to recover from the global pandemic, we will continue to employ the best options to deliver [Disney movies].”

Additional shifted theatrical release dates include: Free Guy on Aug. 13; Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings on Sept. 3; The King’s Man on Dec. 22; Deep Water on Jan. 14, 2022; and Death on the Nile on Feb. 11, 2022.

Chapek Upbeat on Disney+ ‘Premier Access’ Movies; Doesn’t Divulge ‘Mulan’ Revenue

Last Labor Day weekend, Disney released live-action sequel Mulan as a $29.99 “Premier Access” purchase option to Disney+ subscribers, in addition to theaters overseas. Despite considerable speculation since then, Disney has never formally released financial details regarding the movie’s PVOD purchases.

Speaking on the Feb. 11 fiscal webcast, CEO Bob Chapek again remained mum on Mulan details, teasing management was significantly pleased with the results to try the concept again on March 5 with Disney Animation’s Raya and the Last Dragon, which will stream concurrently with a theatrical release.

Bob Chapek

“The best thing I can say about Mulan, is that it was successful to the extent we are also using that [distribution] strategy for Raya,” Chapek said. “Individual decisions [will be made] in the future. Some films we’ll take theatrically; some films we’ll take theatrically plus Disney+; and in some cases we’ll take it directly to [streaming] service.”

Chapek said studio movies going forward are analyzed for their particular strength in a distribution channel, including whether they can become an additional “data point” in the company’s “exploration” of Premier Access day-and-date with theatrical.

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“It’s really about flexibility … and we’re going to steer our decision making over time given what information we get for our [customers] and our subscriber base,” Chapek said.

The executive said studio remains committed to releasing Marvel’s Black Widow, starring Scarlett Johansson, in theaters on May 7.

“We are going to be watching very closely the re-opening of theaters and consumer sentiment in terms of a desire to go back to theaters, to see if that [theatrical window] strategy needs to be revisited,” Chapek said.

Disney bowed Pixar Animation’s Soul exclusively as a freebie to domestic SVOD subs on Christmas Day, while released in select theaters worldwide. The movie has generated $100 million at the box office in Europe, Middle East and Africa since its debut Dec. 24, 2020.

“We were absolutely thrilled by what [Soul] did to our business, in terms of [Disney+ subscriber] acquisitions and retentions,” Chapek said. “It was a big hit with our subscriber base.”

PVOD Resonating With Consumers; Jury Still Out for Hollywood, Pundits

Premium video-on-demand, the expensive version of transactional digital movie rentals offering consumers in-home early access to theatrical titles, continues to see a renaissance.

With 65% of major theatrical markets shuttered due to the pandemic, new data through Feb. 1 saw $19.99 PVOD releases Greenland (STX Entertainment), News of the World (Universal Pictures), Promising Young Woman (Focus Features), The Croods: A New Age (Universal/DreamWorks Animation), Our Friend (Gravitas Ventures) and Fatale (Lionsgate) rank among the Top 10 digital movies rented by consumers across Apple TV, FandangoNow, Spectrum TV and Google Play.

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After a failed 2011 attempt by Universal Pictures to jumpstart PVOD by offering actioner Tower Heist directly in the home for $59.99, the distribution channel made a less-expensive ($19.99) comeback last year early in the pandemic when the studio disclosed it had generated $100 million in revenue from 5 million transactions in 28 days offering erstwhile theatrical sequel Trolls World Tour directly to consumers at home.

Thus, Universal took PVOD firmly by the horns, hammering out shortened theatrical window agreements with AMC Theatres and Cinemark in order to get its movies into home entertainment channels faster — and with good reason. Studios keep about 80% of all digital transactions, compared with 50% of theatrical.

“The results for Trolls World Tour have exceeded our expectations and demonstrated the viability of PVOD. As soon as theaters reopen, we expect to release movies on both formats,” said NBCUniversal CEO Jeff Shell.

Indeed, Universal released the Judd Apatow comedy The King of Staten Island on PVOD in June. It also rushed out early transactional VOD access to The Invisible Man, The Hunt, Emma and Never Rarely Sometimes Always, among others.

Other studios have tepidly followed, with Warner Bros. Pictures debuting Scoob! on  May 15, and Disney launching Mulan into the home on Labor Day weekend  — the latter initially as a $29.99 purchase-only option to Disney+ subscribers.

“The silver lining to 2020 from a theatrical perspective is that studios have had the opportunity to test the feared PVOD window, with the results not as compelling as many had expected, and not as damaging to the exhibitors as feared,” Michael Pachter, media analyst with Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles, wrote in a note.

Indeed, as PVOD has become normalized, scant information exists about actual sales generated by consumers. Nielsen recently announced it would begin tracking PVOD across living room televisions. Just released industry data from DEG: The Digital Entertainment Group did not include PVOD transactions among the $2.3 billion consumers spent renting movies and other filmed content through digital retailers in 2020 — up from less than $2 billion in 2019.

“We think that PVOD is here to stay, and it really is a big part of our business,” Fandango SVP Mark Young told a recent industry panel. NBCUniversal-owned Fandango operates transactional VOD services Vudu and FandangoNow.

Yet major theatrical distributor Imax believes PVOD remains a fluke driven by rollercoaster consumer behavior during a pandemic.

“To be unequivocal, PVOD is a failed experiment,” CEO Rich Gelfond told a virtual investor confab last September. “The numbers haven’t worked in a pandemic, so how would they work in a non-pandemic? Of the movies that were postponed, very few went into PVOD or streaming, and I should be clear I’m talking about the blockbuster movies — the movies that Imax does.”

Wedbush’s Pachter contends studios largely agree, continuing to postpone major releases into 2021 and later, showing they prefer a theatrical release over PVOD.

In the meantime, more movies are likely to go to subscription VOD platforms flush with cash and willing to spend it licensing content.

“We expect more films to shift to streaming as subscription services seek more video content after heightened consumption [and subscriber growth] coupled with several months of halted productions in the pandemic,” Pachter said.

November Domestic Disc Sales Crown Goes to Live-Action ‘Mulan’

Disney’s live-action Mulan was No. 1 on the domestic top 10 list of combined DVD and Blu-ray Disc unit sales for November 2020 according to the NPD Group’s VideoScan tracking service. The actioner based on the ancient Chinese folklore about a young woman who poses as a man to serve in the military was the weekly best-seller for two weeks following its Nov. 10 DVD and Blu-ray release.

The remainder of the month’s top 10 chart consisted entirely of earlier releases and catalog fare.

November’s No. 2 title was a movie from 2018: Universal’s animated The Grinch.

Two Warner releases took the next two spots, with Joker at No. 3 and the Harry Potter 8-Film Collection at No. 4 — the latter being the only holdover from the previous month to remain in the top 10. The “Harry Potter” collection was also No. 4 in October.

Rounding out the top five was Paramount’s Sonic the Hedgehog, a film from earlier in 2020 that got a bit of a boost from a Nov. 24 limited-edition Blu-ray re-release containing character poster cards.

Among other titles, Warner’s Birds of Prey jumped from No. 82 in October to No. 6 in November, while the same studio’s Scoob! moved up four spots to No. 7.

Universal’s Trolls World Tour jumped back into the top 10 at No. 8, after landing at No. 30 in October. Rounding out the top 10 were Sony Pictures’ Jumanji: The Next Level at No. 9, and Disney-owned 20th Century Studios’ 1990 holiday favorite Home Alone at No. 10.

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The resurgence of some of the 2020’s earlier releases caused the year’s list of top 10 sellers to shift a bit. The top four remained unchanged, led by Disney’s Frozen II, which has been the year’s best seller since February. Disney’s Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker remains in the No. 2 spot, while Joker holds steady at No. 3, and Jumanji: The Next Level maintains No. 4.

Moving up one spots to No. 5 was Universal’s 1917, while Trolls World Tour climbed three spots to No. 6. Sony Pictures’ Bad Boys for Life dropped two spots to No. 10, and Disney’s Maleficent: Mistress of Evil dropped three spots to No. 8. Lionsgate’s Midway remained at No. 7.

Sonic the Hedgehog, which had been No. 11 after October, cracked the top 10 for the first time, moving into the N0. 9 position. That pushed another Paramount movie, Terminator: Dark Fate, off the year’s Top 10 rankings.

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According to NPD, the November 2020 top 10 by units sold were:

  1. Mulan (2020)(Disney)
  2. The Grinch (Universal)
  3. Joker (Warner)
  4. Harry Potter Complete 8-Film Collection (Warner)
  5. Sonic the Hedgehog (Paramount)
  6. Birds of Prey … (Warner)
  7. Scoob! (Warner)
  8. Trolls World Tour (Universal/DreamWorks)
  9. Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony Pictures)
  10. Home Alone (20th Century)

 

Year-to-date Top 10 (through November 2020):

  1. Frozen II (Disney)
  2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney/Lucasfilm)
  3. Joker (Warner)
  4. Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony Pictures)
  5. 1917 (Universal)
  6. Trolls World Tour (Universal/DreamWorks)
  7. Midway (2019) (Lionsgate)
  8. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil (Disney)
  9. Sonic the Hedgehog (Paramount)
  10. Bad Boys for Life (Sony Pictures)

 

‘Hocus Pocus’ Leads October Disc Sales to Top Chart for Second Month

Wall Street Confidence Sky High Ahead of Disney Investor Day Event

With the Walt Disney Co. set to hold a virtual Investor Day today (Dec. 10) after the market close, Wall Street has already popped Champagne bottles in anticipation of positive news on the company’s streaming video initiatives and vaccine-related impact on parks and amusement business.

Disney shares closed Dec. 9 at a record high following multiple analyst reports projecting CEO Bob Chapek will deliver exciting news this afternoon regarding the company’s first PVOD release Mulan, another season of “The Mandalorian,” and possible transition of new “Star Wars” content from the big screen to streaming.

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On the Disney’s last fiscal call (Nov. 12) Chapek said the Disney+ streaming service had topped 73 million subscribers — well ahead of company projections.

“Chuck the [dividend], torch [earns per share], spend aggressively, All Systems Go on streaming,” Steven Cahall, analyst with Wells Fargo, wrote in a note. “In other words, we think investors will soon be willing to pay a high multiple for a global streaming growth story. So, if one is excited about the sub growth story then the stock price should take care of itself, in our view.”

In the movie business, Disney’s Soul is set to go head-to-head with Warner Bros.’ Wonder Woman 1984 as the big Christmas Day digital debuts. Disney moved Soul from a November theatrical release to stream exclusively on Disney+, while Wonder Woman 1984 will be available on HBO Max and in theaters simultaneously.

“It seems now would be the perfect time for continued experimentation — a free pass to determine the right future distribution strategy for Disney’s ‘theatrical’ content,” Rich Greenfield with Lightshed Partners wrote in a note last month.

Greenfield argues that if streaming is Disney’s top priority, why is major TV content such as “The Bachelorette” and “Dancing With the Stars” not premiering on Disney+ or Hulu, with delayed airings on linear TV?

“Why should any compelling TV or film content that can be shifted to streaming first, not be shifted to streaming first?,” Greenfield wrote.

Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne expects Disney+ to end Fiscal Year 2025 with 145 million paid subscribers with revenue of nearly $11 billion in FY25. The analyst believes that combined with Hulu, ESPN+ and Star, Disney could see 250 million total streaming subs by 2025 generating more than $33 billion in revenue.

“Fiscal 2020 [direct-to-consumer segment] losses came in at $3.3 billion, below the original implied guidance for $3.5 billion to $4 billion by our estimates, with much stronger customer growth partially offset by Disney leaning in on marketing,” Swinburne wrote. “For fiscal 2021, we increase our estimate of DTC losses to $4 billion to $4.5 billion and forecast profitability on DTC in 2024.”

Disney shares remain up in midmorning trading at $154.55 per share.

‘Mulan’ No. 1 Again on Redbox Disc Rental Chart; ‘Unhinged’ Still Atop On Demand Chart

Disney’s live-action remake of Mulan remained in the top spot on Redbox’s disc rental chart the week ended Dec. 6, its third time at No. 1 in the four weeks since it debuted on disc.

Lionsgate’s Unhinged remained at No. 2 on Redbox’s disc rental chart, which tracks DVD and Blu-ray Disc rentals at the company’s more than 40,000 red kiosks, and was again No. 1 on the Redbox On Demand chart, which tracks digital rental transactions.

Also repeating its position from the previous week, as the No. 3 disc rental and No. 2 on the On Demand chart, was the comedy Buddy Games, from Paramount.

The New Mutants, from Disney-owned 20th Century Studios, remained No. 4 on the disc chart but slipped a spot to No. 4 on the digital chart.

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Rounding out the top five disc rentals was new release The Rental, from Shout! Factory, which debuted at No. 5. The horror film directed by Dave Franco focuses on two couples whose vacation spirals out of control when they discover they are being spied on at the seaside retreat they rented.

Other new releases on the disc chart include RLJE Films’ Downrange, a thriller about stranded motorists being fired at by a sniper, at No. 8, and Viva’s animated movie 100% Wolf, about a werewolf who turns into a poodle, at No. 10.

Top DVD and Blu-ray Disc Rentals, Redbox Kiosks, Week Ended Dec. 6:

  1. Mulan (2020) — Disney
  2. Unhinged — Lionsgate
  3. Buddy Games — Paramount
  4. The New Mutants — 20th Century
  5. The Rental — Shout! Factory
  6. Iron Mask — Lionsgate
  7. 2067 — RLJ
  8. Downrange — RLJ
  9. Bill & Ted Face the Music — Warner/MGM
  10. 100% Wolf — Viva

 

Top Digital, Redbox On Demand, Week Ended Dec. 6:

  1. Unhinged — Lionsgate
  2. Buddy Games — Paramount
  3. Fatman — Paramount
  4. The New Mutants — 20th Century
  5. Elf — Warner
  6. Krampus — Universal
  7. Iron Mask — Lionsgate
  8. After We Collided — Open Road
  9. Freaky — Universal
  10. The Vanished — Paramount

 

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‘Mulan’ Returns to No. 1 Spot on Redbox Disc Rental Chart; ‘Unhinged’ Remains Atop On Demand Chart

Disney’s live-action remake of Mulan returned to the top spot on Redbox’s disc rental chart the week ended Nov. 29. It had debuted at No. 1 before slipping to No. 2 in its second week on disc.

The previous week’s top Redbox title, Lionsgate’s Unhinged, slipped to No. 2 on Redbox’s disc rental chart, which tracks DVD and Blu-ray Disc rentals at the company’s more than 40,000 red kiosks, but remained No. 1 on the Redbox On Demand chart, which tracks digital rental transactions.

The No. 3 disc rental, and No. 2 on the On Demand chart, was the newly released comedy Buddy Games, from Paramount. The movie follows a group of friends who restart their annual competitions to cheer up one of their own.

The New Mutants, from Disney-owned 20th Century Studios, slipped to No. 4 on the disc chart and No. 3 on the digital chart.

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Rounding out the top five disc rentals was Lionsgate’s Iron Mask, which debuted at No. 5.

Other new releases on the disc chart include RLJE Films’ sci-fi movie 2067, at No. 6, and Uncork’d Entertainment’s Paydirt at No. 9.

On the digital chart, newcomer Fatman, from Paramount, came in at No. 4, while Iron Mask landed at No. 5.

Universal’s Let Him Go, with Kevin Costner and Diane Lane, was No. 7.

Top DVD and Blu-ray Disc Rentals, Redbox Kiosks, Week Ended Nov. 29:

  1. Mulan (2020) — Disney
  2. Unhinged — Lionsgate
  3. Buddy Games — Paramount
  4. The New Mutants — 20th Century
  5. Iron Mask — Lionsgate
  6. 2067 — RLJ
  7. Bill & Ted Face the Music — Warner/MGM
  8. Antebellum — Lionsgate
  9. Paydirt — Uncork’d
  10. Chick Fight — Redbox

 

Top Digital, Redbox On Demand, Week Ended Nov. 29:

  1. Unhinged — Lionsgate
  2. Buddy Games — Paramount
  3. The New Mutants — 20th Century
  4. Fatman — Paramount
  5. Iron Mask — Lionsgate
  6. The Tax Collector — RLJ
  7. Let Him Go — Universal
  8. After We Collided — Open Road
  9. Antebellum — Lionsgate
  10. Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials — 20th Century

 

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‘Mulan’ Tops Domestic Disc Sales for Second Week

Disney’s live-action remake of Mulan topped the NPD VideoScan First Alert chart, which tracks combined DVD and Blu-ray Disc unit sales, and the dedicated Blu-ray Disc sales chart the week ended Nov. 21.

It was the second consecutive week atop the charts for the film, which is based on the ancient Chinese folklore about a young woman who poses as a man to serve in the military in place of her elderly father.

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The week’s top new release was The New Mutants, from Disney-owned 20th Century Studios, which debuted at No. 4 on the overall disc sales chart and No. 2 on the Blu-ray chart. It sold 57.6% as many copies as the No. 1 title. Blu-ray Disc formats accounted for 70% of its overall sales, with 4K Ultra HD Blu-ray comprising 25% of its total.

The final “X-Men” film from the Fox era, New Mutants deals with five teenagers who are trapped in an asylum while their budding powers are being evaluated, and attacked by a force that preys upon their fears. It earned $23.8 million at the domestic box office.

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The only other newcomer in the top 20 was Lionsgate’s Unhinged, at No. 14 on the overall chart and No. 16 on the Blu-ray chart. It saw 47% of its total come from Blu-ray Disc. The film stars Russell Crowe as a man who stalks a woman after a road rage incident. It earned $20.8 million at U.S. theaters over the summer.

On the Media Play News rental chart for the week ended Nov. 22, Unhinged debuted at No. 1, pushing Mulan to No. 2. The New Mutants debuted at No. 3.

Top 20 Sellers for Week Ended 11-21-20
Top 20 Rentals for Week Ended 11-22-20
Top 20 Selling Blu-ray Discs for Week Ended 11-21-20
Top 20 Blu-ray Market Share for Week Ended 11-21-20
Sales Report for Week Ended 11-21-20
Digital Sales Snapshot for Week Ended 11-23-20

Disney’s ‘Mulan’ Remains Atop U.K. Weekly Home Entertainment Sales Chart

Packaged-media sales of Disney’s erstwhile theatrical release Mulan helped the live-action movie stay atop the U.K. Official Film Chart through Nov. 25. Disney’s first-ever PVOD release exceeded all other movies by 6,600 unit sales (physical and digital), holding off Warner’s Elf at No. 2 and relegating former No. 1, Last Christmas (Universal) to No. 3.

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Chart newcomer Dawn of the Dead (Arrow Films) underscored the dearth of new releases in 2020, with George A. Romero’s 1978 zombie classic entering the chart for the first time at No. 4 following a remastered packaged-media release.

The middle of the world’s No. 2 home entertainment market included perennial chart mainstays such as Disney’s Frozen II at No. 5; eOne’s 1917 at No. 6; 2000’s The Grinch (Universal) featuring Jim Carrey at No. 7; and Disney/Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi at No. 8 due to a 4K UHD Blu-ray Disc Steelbook release.

Another chart newcomer at No. 9: sci-fi thriller Tremors: Shrieker Island, starring Michael Gross, Jon Heder and Jackie Cruz. Rounding out the Top 10: Disney’s Onward.