‘Gran Turismo’ Racing to Beat ‘Barbenheimer’ Across National Cinema Day Finish Line

Sony Pictures’ new video game-inspired auto racing/actioner Gran Turismo is projected to top the weekend box office through Aug. 27 — spurred in part by the industry-driven National Cinema Day on Sunday, on which all theatrical release tickets are priced at $4 nationwide.

Last year’s “Cinema Day” attracted more than 8 million moviegoers, the highest single-day theatrical box office attendance of 2022.

Directed by Neill Blomkamp (District 9), Gran Turismo, which co-stars Orlando Bloom, David Harbour and  Archie Madeke (as an esports gamer who becomes a professional race-car driver), is expected to generate more than $17 million in North American revenue for the weekend — enough to hold off summer blockbusters Barbie (projected $15.8 million), and Universal Pictures’ biopic Oppenheimer (projected $12.8 million), according to new data from Box Office Pro.

Gran Turismo generated $1.4 million in special Thursday sneak screenings.

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Warner Bros. Pictures’ Barbie, which just passed $1.3 billion at the global box office, should get a boost when it is released across 70mm Imax screens for the first time.

Other box office returnees include Warner’s DC superhero Blue Beetle (projected $12.4 million in ticket sales), Paramount Pictures’ Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem ($7.5 million), Universal’s live animation Strays ($4.8 million),  Warner’s Meg 2: The Trench ($4.4 million), Disney’s Haunted Mansion ($2.6 million), A24’s Talk to Me ($2.4 million), and Paramount’s enduring Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One ($2.1 million).

‘Barbie,’ ‘Oppenheimer’ Continue Box Office Domination For Second Consecutive Weekend

“Barbenheimer,” the social media buzzword linking disparate theatrical releases Barbie and Oppenheimer in a common marketing phenomenon, rages on.

Warner Bros. Pictures’ Barbie, directed by Greta Gerwig and starring Margot Robbie in the title role, and Ryan Gosling as Ken, generated an estimated $93 million across North American screens in its second weekend — the seventh-largest sophomore weekend box office in history. The movie has now topped $351 million domestically (just behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 at $358 million), and $750 million worldwide, the latter the No. 3 tally of the year thus far, according to Box Office Mojo.

Universal Pictures’ Oppenheimer, featuring Cillian Murphy as physicist J. Robert Oppenheimer, father of the atomic bomb, added another $46.6 million, to up its North American tally past $174 million, and $400 million worldwide, surpassing director Christopher Nolan’s Tenet (2020) and Batman Begins (2005).

Disney’s new family release Haunted House (based in part on the legacy theme park ride) sold $24.6 million in North American tickets, adding another $9.1 million internationally for a $33 million global debut.

At No. 4 is Angel Studios’ Sound of Freedom, which added $13.6 million to up its North American total past $150 million after five weeks. The tally is higher than the North American box office totals for Hollywood tentpole releases such as Universal’s Fast X at $145 million, Disney/Pixar Animation’s Elemental ($142 million), and Paramount Pictures’ Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One at $139 million.

A24’s low-budget Talk to Me sold $10 million in tickets in its debut.

Meanwhile, Screen Gems/Stage 6 Films/Blumhouse’s Insidious: The Red Door made a projected $3.175 million for the weekend, bringing its total domestic gross to more than $78 million through Sunday. At $174.3 million worldwide, the movie passes Insidious: The Last Key ($168 million) to become the highest grossing film in the franchise. 

Columbia Pictures and Sony Pictures Animation’s Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse added an estimated $1.4 million for the weekend, bringing its current No. 2 total domestic gross to $378.8 million through Sunday.

At more than $217 million, the North American weekend box office ranks as the highest ever for the last week of July.

‘Knock at the Cabin’ Looks to Scare ‘Avatar 2’ Off Box Office Perch

After seven weekends and $2.13 billion in ticket sales, 20th Century Studios’ mega box office hit Avatar: The Way of Water is set to not repeat as the top-grossing weekend theatrical release.

A trio of new releases aim to upend the status quo, led by director M. Night Shyamalan’s latest psychological thriller, Knock at the Cabin from Universal Pictures; Paramount Pictures’ 80 for Brady, about four female octogenarians heading to the Super Bowl to see their hero Tom Brady; and Fathom Events/Angel Studios’ The Chosen: Season 3 Finale, the faith-based series that has resonated with Christian moviegoers in previous screenings.

Marketing for Knock at the Cabin included Shyamalan’s appearance at January’s CES in Las Vegas touting the film’s AI features. The movie, which is set to open across more than 3,800 North American screens, is projected to generate upwards of $25 million in revenue. It generated $1.45 million in special Thursday sneak screenings.

That’s the same number of screens (not ticket sales) debuting 80 for Brady, whose cast includes Jane Fonda, Sally Fields, Rita Moreno and Lily Tomlin. The movie could generate more than $19 million in revenue.

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Weekend holdovers include Avatar: The Way of Water, which is expected to add another $11 million in ticket sales, along with Universal’s Puss in Boots: The Last Wish ($9.4 million), Sony Pictures’ A Man Called Otto ($4.7 million) and M3GAN with $3.5 million. Both Boots and M3GAN are also available in the home on PVOD.

Four Movies Perform Well Under Long ‘Avatar 2’ Weekend Box Office Shadow

20th Century Studios’ Avatar: The Way of Water, the pricey sequel to James Cameron’s 2009 all-time box office behemoth Avatar, continues to dominate movie theaters, generating $31.1 million in ticket sales through Jan. 15. With another $7 million-plus in revenue projected over Martin Luther King Jr. Day (Jan. 16), the movie is approaching $1.9 billion in ticket sales after five weeks of release across more than 4,000 screens.

At the same time, a group of movies — Universal Pictures’ horror thriller M3GAN, animated family film Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, Sony Pictures’ sentimental comedy A Man Called Otto, and Lionsgate’s Gerard Butler actioner Plane — all performed above expectations.

M3GAN, about a lifelike play doll with issues, sold more than $17 million worth of tickets in its second weekend, to push the Allison Williams-starrer near $61 million in revenue worldwide. Puss in Boots 2, follow-up to the 2011 original, added a projected $17+ million in ticket sales through MLK Day, upping its North American total to $110 million.

Otto, starring Tom Hanks as a lovable widowed senior citizen dealing with 21st Century reality, projects another $15 million in revenue through Jan. 16, upping its two-week tally near $25 million.

Finally, new releases, Plane and erstwhile HBO Max original movie reboot House Party, which was instead released theatrically, realized divergent box office results.

Plane took in a better-than-expected four-day estimate of $11.6 million, while playing at more than 3,000 screens in North America. The movie had been tracking an opening of less than $10 million.
The film was acquired for release in North America, Latin America, the U.K., and India. In North America, according to PostTrak, the opening weekend audience was 55% male, 77% older than 25 years-of-age.
Butler remains one of the world’s most reliable action stars, and Plane didn’t disappoint, generating a strong audience response during test screenings and 95% positive score on Rotten Tomatoes.
House Party, a Warner Bros. Pictures’ reboot of the 1990s trilogy, failed to attract party-minded  moviegoers, generating a projected $4.5 million in revenue through Jan. 16. The comedy, which finds two well-meaning janitorial newbies unknowingly tasked with cleaning NBA superstar LeBron James’ mansion, saw a 25% Rotten Tomatoes critics score on social media.

‘Avatar: The Way of Water’ to Face Three New Releases, Weather Over Christmas Weekend Box Office

The late-year box office hit Avatar: The Way of Water, from Disney-owned 20th Century Studios, is set to dominate its second weekend box office, with more than $60 million in projected revenue across the Christmas holiday.

Director James Cameron’s sequel to his 2009 original Avatar has shown strong sea legs all week, generating ticket sales of $16.2 million, $18.2 million and $14.4 million over Dec. 19, 20 and 21, respectively. The movie is expected to up its North American total past $259 million (near $700 million globally) through Dec. 25.

While three new box office releases over Christmas include an animated sequel to a popular 11-year-old title, Puss in Boots, and a period drama starring Brad Pitt and Margot Robbie, moviegoers also have to contend with record-breaking winter weather affecting moviegoing consumers across major designated market areas such as Chicago, New York and the Northeast.

More than half the U.S. population will be subjected to arctic wind chill alerts over the Christmas weekend, according to the National Weather Service.

Regardless, new box office releases include Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation’s Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, follow-up to 2011’s Puss in Boots. The sequel, which is projected to generate more than $16 million across Christmas weekend, has already sold $21.9 million worth of tickets globally, including $3.2 million in a Dec. 21 North American sneak peak screenings.

Sony/Columbia Pictures’ Whitney Houston biopic, I Wanna Dance with Somebody, is aimed at older female moviegoers and projected to generate upwards of $9 million in ticket sales.

Finally, Paramount Pictures’ Babylon, a period drama about Hollywood debauchery, is projected to see more than $6 million in opening weekend revenue. It will be the first major Paramount release in 2022 not to finish No. 1 at the box office in its debut.

Box office returnees include Disney/Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Universal’s Violent Night, and A24’s The Whale, starring Brendan Fraser.

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‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ Tops 5th Straight Weekend Box Office

Disney-owned Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever topped the Dec 9-11 weekend box office with an estimated $11 million in revenue. The result represents the fifth consecutive No. 1 weekly box office for the sequel to 2018’s box office blockbuster Black Panther, starring the late Chadwick Boseman. Wakanda Forever has now topped $400 million at the North American box office and $767 million worldwide, and ranks as the No. 3 grossing domestic movie of the year.

That said, the movie’s ticket sales fell below projections and underscored an ongoing 2022 trend of lackluster moviegoer interest among consumers. That trajectory is expected to stopped in its tracks heading into 2023 with next weekend’s debut of James Cameron’s long-awaited sequel, Avatar: The Way of Water.

Until then, despite the breakout success of Paramount Pictures’ Top Gun: Maverick ($718 million domestically, $1.48 billion worldwide), the title will not match 2021’s box office champ, Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony Pictures), which approached $805 million in North American revenue, and topped $1.9 billion globally.

The 2022 box office, however, is well ahead of last year with more than $6.7 billion in revenue, compared with $4.48 billion in 2021. And that’s not including the pending Avatar: The Way of Water.

Meanwhile, Universal Pictures’ Christmas dark comedy thriller, Violent Night, added almost $9 million to push its two-weekend total past $26 million. That was enough to best box office support players, including Disney Animation Studios’ Strange World with $3.6 million in ticket sales; Searchlight Pictures’ The Menu with another $2.7 million, and Columbia Pictures’ Devotion with $2 million) squeezing Warner Bros. Pictures’ DC Comics anti-superhero Black Adam ($1.3 million) out of the top five.

‘Black Panther 2,’ ‘Violent Night’ to Lead Last Weekend Box Office Ahead of ‘Avatar’ Tsunami

With 20th Century Studios’ much-hyped sequel, Avatar: The Way of Water, set to debut on Dec. 16 and dominate the global box office for the foreseeable future, Disney’s Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and Universal Pictures’ low-budget action comedy crime thriller Violent Night are set to enjoy their last theatrical weekend with little competition.

Wakanda Forever, the sequel to the 2018 box office sensation, Black Panther, starring the late Chadwick Boseman, is projected to sell another $12 million worth of tickets to push its North American gross past $400 million, $750 million globally. Both tallies are well-behind the $700 million domestic/$1.38 billion worldwide in revenue generated by the original movie.

Separately, Violent Night, starring David Harbour as a grumpy Santa who arrives at the home of a wealthy family under siege by criminals, continues to generate strong social media buzz. The film is expected to generate $8 million in revenue in its second weekend, upping its global haul past $30 million.

Other holdovers include Disney Animation’s box office disappointment Strange World with less than $4 million in ticket sales, Searchlight Pictures’ black comedy horror film The Menu with $2.5 million in revenue, and Columbia Pictures’ navel aviation drama Devotion at $1.9 million.

Netflix’s ‘Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery’ Throws Intrigue on Thanksgiving Weekend Box Office

Disney/Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is expected again to dominate the Nov. 27 weekend box office through the Thanksgiving holiday. Wakanda Forever is projected to add more than $58 million and narrow the gap to the No. 2 grossing movie of the year: Disney/Marvel’s Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness. 

Separately, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, the sequel to the popular 2019 Knives Out, and the first ever Netflix movie to debut across all three major U.S. theatrical chains — AMC, Regal and Cinemark — including additional select theaters worldwide, offers some intrigue.

The movie again is headlined by Daniel Craig with a new supporting cast featuring Edward Norton, Janelle Monáe, Kathryn Hahn, Leslie Odom Jr., Jessica Henwick, Madelyn Cline with Kate Hudson and Dave Bautista.

The original movie (distributed by Lionsgate) generated almost $313 million in revenue, including a $26.7 million North American debut. Those numbers are not expected for Glass Onion since the movie is screening in a reportedly low 700 theaters nationwide. Netflix, which continues to maintain a streaming-first distribution strategy, will begin streaming the sequel beginning Dec. 23. Still, a strong box office (estimated at $15 million over five days) could generate Netflix significant incremental revenue as well strong momentum and press ahead of the streaming window.

Meanwhile, Disney’s animated Strange World is projected to finish No. 2 over the holiday weekend with more than $19 million in ticket sales across about 4,000 screens. The movie is largest animated big screen movie in theaters since Warner Bros. Pictures Animation’s DC League of Super-Pets in JulyThe movie is projected to generate upwards of $35 million over the extended weekend.

The other release features Sony/Columbia Pictures’ interracial fighter-pilot-themed drama, Devotion, with $10 million in projected ticket sales. The movie is based on Jesse Brown, the first Black aviator in U.S. Navy history, and his enduring friendship with fellow fighter pilot Tom Hudner.

Warner Bros. Pictures’ ‘Black Adam’ Set to Jumpstart Fall Box Office

Warner Bros. Discovery is staking much of namesake Warner Bros. Pictures’ future around DC Comics superheroes, including this weekend’s launch of supervillain/antihero Black Adam, starring Dwayne Johnson. The weekend presents the studio’s first major theatrical release since the July 29 debut of DC League of Super-Pets, and The Batman on March 4. Those two movies generated almost a combined $1 billion in global ticket sales.

Black Adam is expected to generate less than half of The Batman’s $134 million opening weekend box office, which would still be a shot in the arm to the anemic North American exhibition business. The film tallied $7.6 million in Thursday special screening revenue.

Warner is rolling out the movie globally across 76 markets, suggesting Black Adam could top $100 million in worldwide ticket sales, which would be a record for Johnson, whose previous top-grossing theatrical debut was Hobbs & Shaw in 2019 with $60 million.

Universal Pictures is debuting Ticket to Paradise, a romantic comedy starring George Clooney and Julia Roberts. The title, which is targeting older female moviegoers, has already generated $75 million in international ticket sales, indicating it could stay in theaters well past the 17-day limit Universal is imposing on non-box office hits.

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Theatrical holdovers include the previous weekend’s No. 1, Halloween Ends, which is projected to finish behind Paramount Pictures’ enduring sleeper hit Smile ($10.3 million) with $9.9 million in expected revenue. The movie is also streaming for free on Peacock Premium (subscription required).

Sony/Columbia Pictures’ family film Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile ($5.6 million), the studio period actioner The Woman King ($2.4 million), Focus Features’ Oscar favorite Tár ($2 million) and 20th Century Studios’ Amsterdam ($1.1 million) round out the top weekend holdovers.

Weekend Box Office Looking at a Possible ‘Crocodile,’ ‘Smile’

Paramount Pictures’ sleeper horror hit Smile is looking to repeat its domestic weekend box office reign with a projected $14 million in second-week ticket sales. But that tally could come up short to the $15 million estimated for Sony/Columbia Pictures’ debut of Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile, a live-action/animated musical comedy featuring the voice of singer Shawn Mendes as Lyle the crocodile.

The weekend’s second new release is Disney-owned 20th Century Studios’ Amsterdam, a period comedy from director David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook), and featuring an all-star cast that includes Christian Bale, Margot Robbie, Chris Rock, Anya Taylor-Joy, Zoe Saldana, Mike Myers, Michael Shannon, Taylor Swift, Rami Malek and Robert De Niro, among others.

Returning weekend movies include Sony’s The Woman King ($4.7 million), Warner Bros. Pictures’ Don’t Worry Darling ($3.9 million), Universal Pictures’ gay romance Bros ($2.9 million), and 20th Century Studios’ Barbarian ($2.1 million) and re-release of 2009’s Avatar ($2 million).